E85 - The Answer to our Consumption Crisis?
#11
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
I really think we'll see a day when we have, say, 20% cars using gasoline, 15% diesel, 20% hydrogen, 30% ethanol, etc. We'll have so many different fuel sources competing (just like in the early 1900's) that the prices of all of them will come down to a similiar low level.
Having 4 different types of fuel infrastructure, two of which cannot be transported via pipeline and don't exist, will only make matters worse. Add on to that gas and ethanol may be run in the same engine, but hydrogen requires a different fuel storage and feed system, and diesel requires a different block and head. Just the manufacturing cost to offer four lines of engines that will be sold at relatively low volume will be enormous.
I already said this in my previous post; in urban environments, electric cars are the answer. The electrical infrastructure exists, and battery technology has improved to the point were it is possible to drive 200-300 miles on one charge and recharge cars in 2-3 hours. We eliminate the energy loss from processing fuel and the associated costs. Sure, electrical generation will need to increase to keep up, but there are many more generation options (coal, oil, gas, nuclear, hydro, solar, etc.) than there are transportation fuel options, and all of these options are available right now, not 10 years from now.
#12
I can't believe I have to respond to an argument on this...
I have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. Maybe you just don't know much and you're spouting, but when cars were first developed noone really knew which powerplant would be most suitable...they used gasoline, electric, steam, ethanol, etc.
I didn't say all in the same car, genius. Maybe Nissan tends to use hydrogen (Sentra, Altima) and gasoline power (Maxima, SUVs), Honda used hydrogen (Insight, FCV, Civic) and diesel (Accord, SUVs) and gasoline (Accord, SUVs, sports cars), GM uses ethanol and hydrogen, etc etc etc. The infastructure will be built when the business strategy is financially sound, just like everything. Extracting oil out of oil sands was never profitable until oil reached $40/barrel, and most said that it would never be profitable. But they found a way. Basic economics, demand of oil will go down as demand for other fuels go up so price of oil will go down...
Okay? So electrical is another competing power source right alongside all the other ones I mentioned. Maybe also natural gas will be prominent. Who cares? The specifics have nothing to do with my extremely general point.
Originally Posted by Kestrel
How do you figure this? Coal was the primary source of fuel for industrial and power generation well into the 1950's. Oil made it's mark through cars and plastics. Wood was used in rural areas. That's about it. The reason costs were low was because a) there was still a lot of easily mined/drilled fuel around b) many industries/companies owned their own mines and provided themselves with fuel c) concern for things like emissions and economy were not yet there and d) we weren't using that much of it.
Having 4 different types of fuel infrastructure, two of which cannot be transported via pipeline and don't exist, will only make matters worse. Add on to that gas and ethanol may be run in the same engine, but hydrogen requires a different fuel storage and feed system, and diesel requires a different block and head. Just the manufacturing cost to offer four lines of engines that will be sold at relatively low volume will be enormous.
I already said this in my previous post; in urban environments, electric cars are the answer. The electrical infrastructure exists, and battery technology has improved to the point were it is possible to drive 200-300 miles on one charge and recharge cars in 2-3 hours. We eliminate the energy loss from processing fuel and the associated costs. Sure, electrical generation will need to increase to keep up, but there are many more generation options (coal, oil, gas, nuclear, hydro, solar, etc.) than there are transportation fuel options, and all of these options are available right now, not 10 years from now.
#13
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
I have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. Maybe you just don't know much and you're spouting, but when cars were first developed noone really knew which powerplant would be most suitable...they used gasoline, electric, steam, ethanol, etc.
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
I didn't say all in the same car, genius. Maybe Nissan tends to use hydrogen (Sentra, Altima) and gasoline power (Maxima, SUVs), Honda used hydrogen (Insight, FCV, Civic) and diesel (Accord, SUVs) and gasoline (Accord, SUVs, sports cars), GM uses ethanol and hydrogen, etc etc etc. The infastructure will be built when the business strategy is financially sound, just like everything. Extracting oil out of oil sands was never profitable until oil reached $40/barrel, and most said that it would never be profitable. But they found a way. Basic economics, demand of oil will go down as demand for other fuels go up so price of oil will go down...
Okay? So electrical is another competing power source right alongside all the other ones I mentioned. Maybe also natural gas will be prominent. Who cares? The specifics have nothing to do with my extremely general point.
#14
Originally Posted by Kestrel
I think you're the one who needs to read up on his thermo. Gasoline has always beens the primary fuel for mobile vehicles. Electric had a short run in the early 1900's but was quickly overtaken. Steam cars use *drumroll* oil to produce the steam...steam is just the working fluid, not the fuel. Fuel for vehicles has never been diverse, it has always been primarily oil driven. So your argument that fuel diversity in the early 1900's led to low cost is bunk.
FYI, Steam is generated directly by heat, not oil. Any combustible fuel or heat source can be used. Even, gasp, electricity. Kerosene, soybean oil, diesel, gasoline, etc.
No one is going to build a national infrastructure around a fuel unless every company is willing to standardize to it. There's too much money and risk involved. Unless every car manufacturer (or at least all the major ones) are on board, it's not going to happen. And then, you run into the problems of low volume production that I mentioned in the last post.
Yes it does. You advocate diversifying fuels for vehicles. I say that will increase prices and complicate matters. I say eliminate the fuel entirely by using direct electrical charging. That's my point.
#15
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
I never said that the diversity led to low cost, reading > you. I said that fuel prices will be at similar low levels. As in they'll all be at low levels. Similar. Hard word.
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
We'll have so many different fuel sources competing (just like in the early 1900's) that the prices of all of them will come down to a similiar low level.
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
FYI, Steam is generated directly by heat, not oil. Any combustible fuel or heat source can be used. Even, gasp, electricity. Kerosene, soybean oil, diesel, gasoline, etc.
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
That's why they call them "venture capitalists". There are some very rich businessmen and companies looking to get even richer.
Originally Posted by 98CoupeV6
I don't advocate anything, it was my opinion of what will happen within 50 years. I see you have an opinion too, excellent. I don't understand why you're telling me that mine is wrong.
#16
Just like america, you've all ignored my post. You have all failed to realize, while we try to figure out other means of power to go from point A to B, we rely on gas....here it is....http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/...n1225184.shtml
#17
#18
Originally Posted by MellowGold
It is easy. Hydrogen + wind or nuclear power. Nuclear power is incredably more safe than it was 30 years ago. It is free, almost clean energy. Wind is even better. Put massive turbines in the ocean, where wind can be extremely strong and the coasts can be cheaply and cleanly powered.
We should spend all the money was can on clean energy, as opposed to alternatives to oil. It will pay off in the long run.
We should spend all the money was can on clean energy, as opposed to alternatives to oil. It will pay off in the long run.
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&h...wer%22&spell=1
#19
Since Jimmy Carter, the democrats have been saying "we're addicted to oil! We're addicted to oil!!"...it took untill 2006 for the GOP to finally admit that we are addicted to oil.
And as far as your gas prices go, Nixon went to the oil companies and gave them a limited price that they could sell there oil at. He warned them that raising prices would raise hell and they would pay for it in the end. Thats a little bit of the democratic house, and a little bit of understanding from the nixon administration. Never thought I'd miss nixon and prefer him over this joke of an embarassment of an administration.
Cheney and Bush, both oil men (with exceptions of Bush failing in the oil business prior to his presidency) have thrown millions of dollars in tax breaks to guy's that are already making record profits...and are now telling the american people that we need alternatives. We as americans became that oil industries saving grace up untill the end. We allowed an administration to make them rich before they bail out and before we bail out and find alternatives.
I love how the administration creates a problem, knowing what they are getting into, and then says, if anyone has an answere, let it be known now. Since bush has taken office, gas prices have hightened to almost 300%.
Now, I understand that it's not just the administration. It's us. We had better fuel efficient cars 15 years ago compared to now. There are record sales on V8's and low MPG SUV's today then yesterday and it doesn't seem to make a difference. People bitch about $3.00 gas but it really doesn't seem to hurt anyone. Imagine the gas prices at $8 a gallon...scary
Look at Europe. People walk, take public transit, have solar panels on there homes and extra energy is sold back to the government. Imagine getting tax breaks on having solar power to power your home and an outlet to power your vehicle and making even more money from selling extra power back to the city.
We need a major change and the current administration is doing nothing.
And as far as your gas prices go, Nixon went to the oil companies and gave them a limited price that they could sell there oil at. He warned them that raising prices would raise hell and they would pay for it in the end. Thats a little bit of the democratic house, and a little bit of understanding from the nixon administration. Never thought I'd miss nixon and prefer him over this joke of an embarassment of an administration.
Cheney and Bush, both oil men (with exceptions of Bush failing in the oil business prior to his presidency) have thrown millions of dollars in tax breaks to guy's that are already making record profits...and are now telling the american people that we need alternatives. We as americans became that oil industries saving grace up untill the end. We allowed an administration to make them rich before they bail out and before we bail out and find alternatives.
I love how the administration creates a problem, knowing what they are getting into, and then says, if anyone has an answere, let it be known now. Since bush has taken office, gas prices have hightened to almost 300%.
Now, I understand that it's not just the administration. It's us. We had better fuel efficient cars 15 years ago compared to now. There are record sales on V8's and low MPG SUV's today then yesterday and it doesn't seem to make a difference. People bitch about $3.00 gas but it really doesn't seem to hurt anyone. Imagine the gas prices at $8 a gallon...scary
Look at Europe. People walk, take public transit, have solar panels on there homes and extra energy is sold back to the government. Imagine getting tax breaks on having solar power to power your home and an outlet to power your vehicle and making even more money from selling extra power back to the city.
We need a major change and the current administration is doing nothing.
Last edited by Duff Man; 05-11-2006 at 09:00 PM.
#20
Originally Posted by Duff Man
We need a major change and the current administration is doing nothing.
As an aside, it really bothers me when people blame the problem of gas prices on the government and oil companies, when they themselves are unwilling to change their lifestyles. Sure, the government is to look after the society's well being, but they can't do everything for you. There are a ton of things people can do for themselves; a lot of these things have been suggested for many years, like carpooling, riding the bus, or riding your bike. People need to give up their infatuation with convenience and realize that if you really want change, it needs to begin with you.